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A deeper dive into KenPom’s advanced metrics reveals a bigger disparity between these two squads than what the betting line suggests. Arizona ranks 13th nationally with an impressive +26.45 net rating, reflecting their ability to dominate on both ends of the court. Meanwhile, Oregon checks in at 27th with a +21.79 net rating — solid, but noticeably behind the Wildcats in overall efficiency.
The difference becomes even more apparent when looking at assist-to-turnover ratios, a key stat that highlights offensive discipline and ball security. Arizona holds the edge here too, ranked 42nd in the country with a 1.416 ratio, while Oregon lags behind at 94th with a 1.277 mark. That may not sound massive at first glance, but over the course of 40 minutes in a tight tournament setting, it matters — especially when pace quickens and possessions are at a premium.
The Wildcats have shown more consistency in execution and a higher ceiling in terms of performance. Their numbers support a level of control and efficiency that should give them the upper hand down the stretch. With both statistical and situational edges, Arizona looks like the stronger side here and is well-positioned to win by more than one possession. Lay the points with confidence — the Wildcats should handle business. Take Arizona ATS
The difference becomes even more apparent when looking at assist-to-turnover ratios, a key stat that highlights offensive discipline and ball security. Arizona holds the edge here too, ranked 42nd in the country with a 1.416 ratio, while Oregon lags behind at 94th with a 1.277 mark. That may not sound massive at first glance, but over the course of 40 minutes in a tight tournament setting, it matters — especially when pace quickens and possessions are at a premium.
The Wildcats have shown more consistency in execution and a higher ceiling in terms of performance. Their numbers support a level of control and efficiency that should give them the upper hand down the stretch. With both statistical and situational edges, Arizona looks like the stronger side here and is well-positioned to win by more than one possession. Lay the points with confidence — the Wildcats should handle business. Take Arizona ATS
NCAA Basketball Picks
Sunday, March 23rd 2025 9:40 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Picks
Sunday, March 23rd 2025 9:40 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Oregon vs Arizona with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Bruce Marshall 55 % Joseph D'Amico 75 % Tony Sink 56 % Chris Ruffolo 56 % Dylan Hellebrand 61 % Paul Stone 67 % Jason Fragomeni 57 % Aaron Moore 56 % Shane Mickle 58 % Big Al 59 % Dquan Picks 60 %
Oregon
Arizona SPREAD
Oregon 4.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 48 ROI: -8
Paul Stone
W%: 53
ROI: 0
Tim Murray
W%: 43
ROI: -19
Aaron Moore
W%: 43
ROI: -18
Matt Youmans
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Nathan Beighle
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Shane Mickle
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Elite Sports Picks
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Smart Money Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Ian Cameron
W%: 53
ROI: 1
Dquan Picks
W%: 52
ROI: -7
The Degenerates
W%: 36
ROI: -28
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Steve Fezzik
W%: 54
ROI: -2
SPREAD
Arizona -4.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -7
Bosun Akinpelu
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Tony Sink
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Dylan Hellebrand
W%: 54
ROI: -1
Justin W.
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Jason Fragomeni
W%: 51
ROI: -5
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Teddy Covers
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Bet Sharper
W%: 40
ROI: -25
Big Al
W%: 52
ROI: -4
Jacob Mitchell
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Micah Roberts
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Jimmy Adams
W%: 47
ROI: -12
MONEY
Oregon 170
MONEY
Arizona -195 AVG MONEY W%: 54 ROI: -5
ProSportsPicks
W%: 50
ROI: -11
Joseph D'Amico
W%: 55
ROI: 2
Tommy G
W%: 52
ROI: -8
LVSB Parlay
W%: 58
ROI: -3
Ricky Tran
W%: 54
ROI: -7
TOTAL
UNDER 151.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 48 ROI: -8
Nathan Beighle
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Teyas Sports
W%: 47
ROI: -10
TOTAL
OVER 151.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 53 ROI: 1
Justin W.
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Oliver Zivic
W%: 57
ROI: 8
Ian Cameron
W%: 53
ROI: 1
Jacob Mitchell
W%: 50
ROI: -3
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